IDX-00 // Current reading
Israel situational-stability score
Hummus condition
HUMCON 4
WATCHFUL
Regional tensions remain elevated following renewed Iranian threats of direct engagement. Market volatility on the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange reflects heightened investor caution regarding potential security escalation.
TRD-01 // 24-hour trace
30 Oct, 02:11 → 31 Oct, 14:31
SIG-02 // Signals feed
Strongest stability signals in the current window
- +55ELEVATED
מהלומה אפשרית באיראן: טראמפ ונתניהו לא חושבים על אותו הדבר
#012 H AGOYnetsecurity - +30WATCHFUL
"סגן שר איראני בקטאר", חמינאי בהצהרה לוחמנית: "כל מטרות ישראל בטווח שלנו"
#021 H AGOYnetsecurity×3 sources - +0CALM
Can Democrats win the US Senate? 10 key midterm races to watch
#032 H AGOAl Jazeeraforeign
LOG-08 // Situation log
Recent condition changes
- 8 H AGO3 · ELEVATED4 · WATCHFUL@ 36
TASE decline and regional uncertainty keep sentiment cautious. Security operations in the West Bank and reports of explosions in the Persian Gulf maintain pressure on the national stability index.
- 10 H AGO4 · WATCHFUL3 · ELEVATED@ 44
Heightened regional tensions due to reports of maritime incidents in the Persian Gulf contribute to market volatility. Internal security remains stable while local infrastructure and air travel are unaffected.
- 11 H AGO5 · CALM4 · WATCHFUL@ 36
Security tension increases following reports of maritime incidents in the Strait of Hormuz. The Tel Aviv Stock Exchange shows a downward trend while currency volatility remains contained.
- 12 H AGO4 · WATCHFUL5 · CALM@ 16
The security environment remains stable despite internal reports on past incidents. Markets show volatility with a decline in the TASE despite a stable exchange rate.
- 32 H AGO3 · ELEVATED4 · WATCHFUL@ 32
Political instability persists as election results indicate no clear governing majority. Security remains steady despite speculative reports regarding regional military movements.
- 35 H AGO4 · WATCHFUL3 · ELEVATED@ 49
Regional tensions regarding Iran and potential military activity drive security concerns. Domestic stability remains strained by inconclusive election results. Market indicators reflect increased investor caution.
SIG-06 // Field signals
Ground truth, last 24 hours
No field signals. The skies are boring, as preferred
MKT-04 // Market watch
Shekel, TASE sectors, defense index, and oil
- FX
USD / ILS
USDILS · as of 36 h ago
3.1284
+0.40%
- FX
EUR / ILS
EURILS · as of 36 h ago
3.4951
+0.78%
- FX
GBP / ILS
GBPILS · as of 36 h ago
4.1917
+1.02%
- IDX
TA-125
TA125 · as of 25 h ago
3,936.27
-1.86%
- IDX
TA-Banks 5
TABANKS · as of 25 h ago
8,475.21
-0.79%
- IDX
TA-Insurance
TAINS · as of 25 h ago
11,019.23
-2.65%
- IDX
TA-Defense
TADEF · as of 25 h ago
3,160.12
-1.48%
- OIL
Brent Crude
BRENT · as of 15 h ago
113.43
-1.26%
SRC-05 // Sensor array
22 monitored feeds
- N12
- Ynet
- Kan 11
- Channel 13
- Walla
- Israel Hayom
- Jerusalem Post
- Times of Israel
- Arutz Sheva
- Calcalist
- Globes
- i24NEWS
- Channel 14
- Google News Israel
- CNN Middle East
- NYT Middle East
- France 24 Middle East
- Fox News
- Visegrad24
- Al Jazeera
- Al Arabiya
- Gulf News
DOC-99 // The briefing
What this is and how to read it
What is the Hummus Index and how it works
The Hummus Index is a live measure of Israel's situational stability. It turns a broad and noisy picture into one clear score. Higher scores indicate greater instability.
An AI agent continuously collects information from local and international news, emergency sirens, flight activity, and financial markets. It filters out irrelevant items, checks reports across sources, and scores each development by how much it may stabilize or destabilize the situation. The system then combines the results into the reading on the dial and the short brief above it.
Direct signals such as sirens, widespread flight cancellations, or sharp market moves can set a minimum score regardless of the broader calculation. The baseline also adjusts gradually during long-running events, helping the dial emphasize meaningful changes rather than familiar conditions.
This is an automated estimate from open sources. Not a forecast, and not an official assessment of anything. Treat accordingly.
Reading the dial
- HC-50–19 · CALMQuiet. Routine coverage, no destabilizing signals. The hummus is undisturbed.
- HC-420–39 · WATCHFULNormal Israeli baseline: background friction, nothing acute.◂ current condition
- HC-340–59 · ELEVATEDA real destabilizing development is in play.
- HC-260–79 · SEVEREMajor crisis unfolding across multiple dimensions.
- HC-180–100 · CRITICALWar-level national emergency. Breaking developments dominate every source.
API-07 // Embed the dial
Put the live badge on your own site
<a href="https://thehummusindex.com">
<img src="https://thehummusindex.com/functions/getHummusBadge" alt="The Hummus Index" height="40">
</a>Live SVG, updates every 5 minutes. Free to embed anywhere.